Saturday, February 25, 2012

Update: Best page for 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries dates, # of delegates, winner-take-all or proportional through Super Tuesday

My developing table on 2012 Primaries and Caucuses for the Republican Presidential Nomination: (parentheses = probably)
The Republican National Convention will be held at the Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa, Florida, August 27 (Monday) to 30 (Thursday), 2012.
State Date (Sat. elections in italics) Caucus or primary Open or closed Winner-Take-All or proportional Number of delegates
Iowa evangelical January 3 Caucus Closed Proportional 28
New Hampshire libertarian but New England January 10 Primary Open to Republi- cans and Indepen- dents Proportional 12
South Carolina evangelical January 21 Primary Open Winner-take-all 25
Florida evangelical, Old South north; cosmopolitan southern section January 31 Primary Closed Winner-take-all 50
Nevada libertarian West; besieged with foreclosures February 4 Caucus Closed Proportional 28
Maine (municipal level) February 4 to 11 Caucus Closed Determined at precinct level (Likely WTA) 24
Colorado social conserv., but libertarian February 7 Caucus Closed Unbound 36
Minnesota February 7 Caucus Open Unbound 40
Missouri (non-binding, see 3/17 cauc.) February 7 Primary Modified Alloct. at convention 52
Arizona February 28 Primary Closed WTA 29
Michigan February 28 Primary Open* Proportional (15% threshold) 30
Washington March 3 Caucus Open Mixed WTA/Proportional 43
Alaska March 6 Caucus Closed Proportional 27
Georgia March 6 Primary Open Mixed WTA/Proportional 76
Idaho March 6 Caucus Open Mixed WTA/Proportional 32
Massachusetts March 6 Primary Semi-Open Proportional (15% threshold) 41
North Dakota March 6 Caucus Open (per state party's county convention rules) 28
Ohio March 6 Primary Closed Mixed WTA/Proportional 66
Oklahoma March 6 Primary Closed Modified WTA 43
Tennessee March 6 Primary Open Mixed WTA/Proportional 58
Vermont March 6 Primary Open Modified WTA 17
Virginia March 6 Primary Open Modified WTA 49
Wyoming March 6 to March 10 Caucus (County Convention) Closed (per state party's county convention rules) 29
Table in progress.

Source for winner-take-all or proportional allocation of delegates:
*In Michigan, voter may chose which party primary in which to vote, but once they have chosen that party, they must vote for all one party once they have entered the voting booth.

Projected winners in latest opinion polls; highlights are links to polls:
Arizona: Mitt Romney
Michigan: toss-up, leaning Romney
Big considerations, states with over 50 delegates, March 6, Super Tuesday:
Georgia: Newt Gingrich, but with only a three point lead on Romney
Ohio: Rick Santorum
Tennessee: despite being next-door to Gingrich's home state: Santorun

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